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Post by soccer24 on Feb 26, 2018 15:41:48 GMT
Hawks maintain 8th, although their score dipped.
San Jose had a notable dip from 6th to 14th. Other than that, minor changes across the board.
Upcoming schedule: @ Sharks - 14 @ Kings - 15 @ Ducks - 21
Full list: 1 Boston 2 St. Louis 3 Columbus 4 Pittsburgh 5 Dallas 6 Carolina 7 Winnipeg 8 Chicago 9 Calgary 10 Vegas 11 Nashville 12 Edmonton 13 Tampa Bay 14 San Jose 15 Los Angeles 16 Montreal 17 Philadelphia 18 Toronto 19 New Jersey 20 Florida 21 Anaheim 22 Minnesota 23 Detroit 24 Colorado 25 Washington 26 Ottawa 27 Vancouver 28 NY Rangers 29 Buffalo 30 NY Islanders 31 Arizona
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Post by garyu on Feb 26, 2018 16:22:12 GMT
Hawks maintain 8th, although their score dipped.
San Jose had a notable dip from 6th to 14th. Other than that, minor changes across the board.
Upcoming schedule: @ Sharks - 14 @ Kings - 15 @ Ducks - 21
Full list: 1 Boston 2 St. Louis 3 Columbus 4 Pittsburgh 5 Dallas 6 Carolina 7 Winnipeg 8 Chicago 9 Calgary 10 Vegas 11 Nashville 12 Edmonton 13 Tampa Bay 14 San Jose 15 Los Angeles 16 Montreal 17 Philadelphia 18 Toronto 19 New Jersey 20 Florida 21 Anaheim 22 Minnesota 23 Detroit 24 Colorado 25 Washington 26 Ottawa 27 Vancouver 28 NY Rangers 29 Buffalo 30 NY Islanders 31 Arizona
Hawks do currently own the 8th draft pick, so I get it!
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Post by soccer24 on Mar 5, 2018 15:59:17 GMT
This week makes a little more sense as the Hawks drop from 8th to 12th.
Some other observations: Since Jan 22, Tampa has been on a steady decline, going from 3rd to 14th. For the first time, the Coyotes are no longer dead last, surpassing the Islanders.
Upcoming schedule: vs Avs - 24th vs Hurricanes - 6th @ Bruins - 1st vs Bruins - Still 1st
Full list: 1 Boston 2 Pittsburgh 3 St. Louis 4 Dallas 5 Columbus 6 Carolina 7 Nashville 8 Winnipeg 9 San Jose 10 Calgary 11 Vegas 12 Chicago 13 Edmonton 14 Tampa Bay 15 Los Angeles 16 Philadelphia 17 New Jersey 18 Toronto 19 Montreal 20 Florida 21 Anaheim 22 Minnesota 23 Detroit 24 Colorado 25 Washington 26 Ottawa 27 Vancouver 28 Buffalo 29 NY Rangers 30 Arizona 31 NY Islanders
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Post by soccer24 on Mar 12, 2018 18:45:27 GMT
Hawks continue sinking here from 12th to 14th
Upcoming schedule: @ Winnipeg - 9th @ Buffalo - 29th vs St. Louis - 5th
Rank Team 1 Boston 2 Columbus 3 Pittsburgh 4 Nashville 5 St. Louis 6 Carolina 7 San Jose 8 Calgary 9 Winnipeg 10 Dallas 11 Tampa Bay 12 Vegas 13 Edmonton 14 Chicago 15 Los Angeles 16 Montreal 17 Florida 18 Toronto 19 Philadelphia 20 New Jersey 21 Anaheim 22 Minnesota 23 Detroit 24 Colorado 25 Washington 26 Ottawa 27 Vancouver 28 Arizona 29 Buffalo 30 NY Rangers 31 NY Islanders
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Post by Hawksfan10 on Mar 12, 2018 19:07:36 GMT
I think your system needs tweeking. By my count, 7 playoff teams (or almost half) fall in the bottom half of the league?
I give you full credit for trying to put together a calculated system, but there are too many teams sitting below 16 in playoff positions to call all of them outliers.
How much emphasis do you put on shots for etc, because the Hawks do not belong anywhere inside the top 20.
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Post by soccer24 on Mar 12, 2018 19:32:11 GMT
There were some counts earlier in this thread that showed on average there would be about 3 playoff teams (never more than 4). This year seems to be shaping up to be a new high on that, for sure.
But the main goal of this is to predict playoff performance more than anything else. So in about a month we'll see if it's able to do that.
Answering your question more directly: It puts most emphasis on Fenwick For % (which measures shots taken & shots against at the same time.) And over the last 10 years, the team with the higher fenwick won 65% of the playoff series match-ups. Of all the basic team stats to track, that was the highest one. Where you finished in the standings was only 55%.
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Post by lari on Mar 12, 2018 23:35:17 GMT
Is there an algorithm that deducts points if your team is based in the state of New York?
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Post by soccer24 on Mar 13, 2018 0:25:59 GMT
Haha, damn, didn't even notice that.
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Post by jimc on Mar 13, 2018 1:59:06 GMT
The hawks belong nowhere near the top half of the league...this system definitely has too many flaws.
How strongly do you weight team spct? Or is thst factored into other metrics?
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Post by soccer24 on Mar 13, 2018 3:35:54 GMT
Teams that have a higher shooting percent in the regular season tend to do worse once the playoffs arrive. So... Not highly at all.
And I think the theory that goes with that is that a strong defense will trump a strong offense, so it's more impressive with how many goals you keep out of the net rather than how many you're able to score yourself. I don't think it's much of a reach to suggest that teams built strong defensively are going to be more consistent/reliable for those results than teams that are built primarily on offense.
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Post by jimc on Mar 13, 2018 4:36:17 GMT
Spct is save percentage
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Post by Hawksfan10 on Mar 13, 2018 14:10:45 GMT
Actually, SVPCT would be Save Percentage or "SV%" "S%" is in fact shooting percentage... LOL Maybe your "Assistant" captain should have helped you with that?
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Post by jimc on Mar 13, 2018 14:52:01 GMT
or assistant coach?
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Post by jimc on Mar 13, 2018 14:53:14 GMT
Hey, Toews says its assistant captain, so then it must be...
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Post by soccer24 on Mar 13, 2018 15:18:50 GMT
I bet he said he was ok with the current point system too.
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